Despite lowest vote share in 20 yrs, JDS well placed to lead Karnataka
The Janata Dal-Secular (JDS) with 18.3%
vote share and the Indian National Congress (38%)-a combined vote share of
56.3%-may get to form the government in the state.
Karnataka Election News: The Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP) won 36.2%
of the votes in the Karnataka election–it’s highest ever since the party first
contested state elections in 1983.
However, the Janata Dal-Secular (JDS) with 18.3% vote share and the Indian National Congress (38%)–a combined vote share of 56.3%–may get to form the
government in the state.
The JD(S) vote-share of 18.3%,
according to leads and results, was its lowest in nearly two decades since 1999
when it had a vote-share of 10.4%.
The Congress vote-share of 38% is the
highest among the three parties and the highest the party got since the 1999
elections when it had a vote-share of 40.8%. Although the BJP vote share was
1.8 percentage points lower than the Congress’, the former is 26 seats ahead of
the incumbent Congress in this election, according to leads and results.
This
is because elections in India follow the first-past-the-post system: The
candidate with the highest number of votes wins the seat.
In keeping with a 33-year-old trend, Kannadigas voted against
the incumbent government in the 2018 elections as well, according to an India Spend analysis of election data. From winning 122
seats to emerge as the single-largest party in 2013, the Congress lost 26 seats
in the 2018 election, mainly to the BJP, according to leads.
In
states where the BJP is in power, such as Maharashtra, Jammu & Kashmir,
Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh, the party, in its ascent to power, made
inroads into the strongholds of regional parties, India Spend previously reported (here, here and here).
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